>>Iraq - Nope, they are currently fighting an insurgency with the aid of troops operating under UN Mandate, they are not fighting a war, they do not independently have the means to do so.<<

That insurgency has been blowing up pipelines.
The civil war has also disrupted production.
There was a battle over the major oil port this year.
There are fears that the war will spread to Iran or to the Saudi side of the gulf or both.

But no, the uncertainty over oil prices is because of Hugo Chavez.

LOLOLOL