Last poll I saw had McCain 45%, Obama 44%, Nader 2% and Barr 2%.
That would leave about 9% "undecided", but they were majority leaning McCain, "the safe candidate".
Two kickers: the Catholic vote was 20% up in the McCain camp and the young voters were getting bored by Obama. Considering how huge the Mexican-Catholic vote is in the seven Western states, this race is over. Turn in yer Wilkie button and grab a beer.