The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #115876   Message #2488006
Posted By: GUEST,beardedbruce
07-Nov-08 - 06:14 PM
Thread Name: BS: War in 2009?
Subject: RE: BS: War in 2009?
LH:

"Subject: RE: BS: War in 2009?
From: beardedbruce
Date: 03 Nov 08 - 03:26 PM

Dick-

If I win, the money will not be worth anything.


How would you account for a 30% chance of war? Who decides ( actual discrete value will be either 0 or 100%)?"