The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #124828   Message #2759886
Posted By: Ron Davies
05-Nov-09 - 12:39 AM
Thread Name: BS: A Small Start But Significant, US Election
Subject: RE: BS: A Small Start But Significant, US Election
"current tenor of the country suggests.."

What a surprise.   Mr. Gloom and Doom, who never did like Obama and the Democrats--and is not even a US citizen-- still predicts major setbacks for them.

Anybody who thinks "the current tenor" of the country has anything to do with 2012 needs an elementary course in political science.   One year in politics is an eternity; 3 years equals 3 eternities.

Nothing has changed.   In off-year elections the party out of power usually gains. 2012? Nobody has any idea.

As I've said before, it hinges on 2 factors. If there is a hot war going on, the vote will be on that basis.   If not, the economy will determine it. If the economy is perceived to not have improved significantly from its current state (especially unemployment), President Obama and the Democrats will lose. If it has recovered substantially, both Obama and the Democrats will do well. And the Democrats will retain the Senate.

But why we should be impressed with Senate "control: is another mystery.   Even 60 Democratic seats do not mean Obama's program will pass--it's a "big tent" situation. Again, elementary political science.