Anybody who feels Sarah will not run for president in 2012 should also explain phenomena like her support of McCain in his primary. Contrary to Mudcatters' vain hopes, she is not stupid.   She knows she can pick speaking engagements off the trees--at $75,000 or $100,000 a pop.   And she knows support of McCain does not sit well with her natural base--the "Tea Party" and other malcontents.   She could easily just pick speaking gigs before friendly audiences. Thus her support of him looks remarkably like building up debts with rank-and-file Republicans--and office holders--which are then cashed in when the run for President starts.

Also, anybody who thinks she does not have charisma should do more reading and monitoring the news.   President Obama of course also has charisma. But any sitting president cannot run as the candidate of charisma--he must run as the candidate of competence.   Also look what happens when charisma goes up against competence.   Not usually a good outcome for the competence candidate.

Finally look at the fact that the President does not have unified support from left of center--to say the least.   Consider, for instance all the whining we have seen from left of center just on Mudcat.   The president will need the votes of the whiners--and if somebody like Nader runs again, he may not get them.


And Sarah and her advisors no doubt are noting all of this.