The Republicans are divided, and lack a strong leader.

Much of what Bill D says is true. Conservative people, I think, are mostly sitting back and wondering what to do.
Palin, Paul, Beck, etc., all seem to be 'kneejerk' politicians- they please the crowd at a rally but when one considers their remarks at leisure, one tends to back away and hope for a leader who considers problems deeply and doesn't just give out one-line 'zingers'.

Locally and for a time they attract followers but not true conservatives. Time will tell if conservatives can find a leader who can offer constructive criticism and advice and influence the majority party.