My main point is that those who smugly assume Sarah would be easy for President Obama to defeat are dead wrong---and dangerously so.


Elections are all about turnout--as anybody who watched the 2008 election should know. Who had the passionate support--Obama or McCain?

The President would be much better off with a colorless technocrat like Pawlenski as his opponent than with Sarah.   Sure the liberals will finally come home and vote for Obama--but Sarah has a lot more passionate support than Mudcatters seem to give her credit for.

The 2012 election will be a referendum on President Obama--especially on the economy under him--regardless of the fact that he has only limited control over it.   That's the way it is for every sitting president.   Exhibit A:   Bush the elder.

And Sarah is an expert at turning that into a slashing attack, with plenty of red meat for her supporters.

Unfortunately.

At some point--soon--it won't matter if she can " see Russia from her house."