Like Amergin said...both sides are ruled by the Oligarchy.

Obama will be re-elected if things aren't looking quite grim for the economy in the last few months of his term...and if the Oligarchy wants him re-elected.

The Republicans will be elected if things are looking quite grim for the economy in the last few months of his term...and if the Oligarchy wants them elected.

If the Oligarchy doesn't really give a damn which one of them gets elected (which is quite possible), and if things are sort of cruddy but not totally hopeless, then it might go either way! ;-) In that case you can have an exciting and nailbiting finish and all go totally mad on election night...and whoever's side wins, they can go into total ecstasy for a short time afterward, and the ones who lost can mutter darkly about the hideous things that will surely happen under the new administration.

Sound familiar? ;-D