Searched for October Surprise threads and found 4-5. Decided to refresh this one after 6 years.

The October Surprise is something the candidates for U.S. president cook up to help their chances at the last minute before the election in November. We could see some late-game mudslinging along those lines, but I'm more concerned about what might happen in Israel.

Netanyahu's up for re-election in October, and he's even less popular than Obama, if that's possible. He'll lose, and then he'll face charges for various crimes he's committed as Prime Minister. His only chance of avoiding prison is to remain PM. So I think we might see Israel do something silly like attack Iran really, really soon.

An interesting wrinkle--the Chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, Martin Dempsey, recently met with Netanyahu and told him America wouldn't back Israel's aggression. Can you imagine how Netanyahu felt? He's got to attack Iran to avoid jail, but what good would an attack do if retalliation killed him like a rat in his bunker? Netanyahu was accustomed to pushing around Dempsey's prececessor, Richard Myers, but Dempsey has a backbone.

And then an attempt was made on Dempsey's life. At Bagram Air Force Base, in Afghanistan. After he met with Netanyahu. Bagram AFB is the most secure real estate in the world. The news media is claiming that Dempsey's plane was bombed by the Taliban, but do you know how impossible that would be? They didn't catch anyone, so that would be two separate operations--first to get INTO the base for the attack, then to get OUT of the base when the friggin' Chairman of the Joint Chief's plane just got blown up! And they didn't catch anyone. But the news sources are saying the Taliban did it.

My money's on Netanyahu. He wants someone he can manipulate in that position.

Maybe you've all seen the stories about the "bunker busters" the U.S. sold to Israel. 30,000 pound bombs that can penetrate and explode far underground. And we're being told that Iran has nuclear facilities underground. The bunker busters are a cover story. Israel can only conquer Iran if they use tactical nukes, but that would leave radiation signatures. Enter the news media reporting that the bunker busters did their job and blew up nuclear facilities deep underground (See, we TOLD you they had dangerous nuclear plants), and that's the reason for the radiation in the war zone.

So when Dempsey said no to Netanyahu, he also said not to Israel's weasly plan to nuke Iran.

At any rate, Netanyahu going insane in October is a distinct possibility.

Anyone want to speculate on what our October Surprise might be this year?