Don't get me wrong, I do not see any one nation as the "bad guy" in this area of the world. I am just trying to "see through the massive "bs" from all sides (and there is alot in this area of the world) to get a more realistic picture of what is actually happening.
Sometimes, looking at what has happened in the past (at least, what has been unearthed) can give a lens, though cloudy, as to what is most likely to be happening now.