The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #147963 Message #3432578
Posted By: GUEST,Lighter
07-Nov-12 - 02:33 PM
Thread Name: BS: Obama Wins!!!
Subject: RE: BS: Obama Wins!!!
Back in the '60s, when election-night polling and predicting methods became startlingly reliable, there was some discussion of passing a law to forbid statistical election-night predictions before all the polls had closed.
That would allow people to vote without being unduly influenced by either the bandwagon effect or the sense that their vote might not count anyway.
Since the law would mean no predictions till after midnight on the East Coast - resulting in little viewer interest (or advertising revenue) on election night - it went nowhere.
There may also have been a study showing that the predictions had no real effect on turnout anyway: I'm not sure.