Ron, as I wrote many times, I do not have a theory and I do not make any factual assertion that could possibly be proved or disproved, other than general observations which you correctly qualified as commonplace.

The ones who claim to know exactly what happened are you and Jeri, so if we were at court, you would be asked for a proof. But for the purposes of this conversation, it is not of much interest. "In this case I do not think manipulation is possible, because .." suffices.