Trouble is in such a safe Tory seat as Skipton and Ripon (Sorry, got the name wrong last time) the choices are either Tory or a protest vote. Since 1983 when the constituency was created, it has been a Tory stronghold. The prior constituency, with slightly different boundaries, was the same. Last time the Labour vote was 10%. So, as it is impossible to get the buggers out here, the protest swing is the only important factor.