The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #157045   Message #3705131
Posted By: GUEST,Allan Conn
29-Apr-15 - 07:06 AM
Thread Name: BS: election uk
Subject: RE: BS: election uk
Getting back to the original Achmelvich point it seems whatever the intentions of the anti-Scottish commentators are, the outcome is more and more Scots seem to be turning to the SNP. Poll yesterday suggested they may win all but two of the seats. Today's Ipsos Mori poll suggests they could in fact win every seat. SNP on 54% with Labour only on 20% and in danger of being overtaken by the Tories. The UKIP vote has fallen back to only 1% which I suspect has helped the Tories. Lib Dems only on 5%.

I don't know if these recent polls are rogue but they do show a further momentum. Though even if 54% was correct I don't think it'd mount to every seat as it takes no account of regional differences etc. The Tories could win 2 seats in the south and the Lib Dems could retain places like the Northern Isles whilst some Labour seats need a massive local swing to change hands. Sturgeon has kind of dismissed the polls on her twitter account saying "forget polls as only votes win elections"

http://news.stv.tv/scotland-decides/318815-stvipsos-mori-poll-snp-set-to-win-all-scots-seats-at-general-election/