The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #160033 Message #3795980
Posted By: DMcG
15-Jun-16 - 06:30 PM
Thread Name: BS: Logic and the laws of science
Subject: RE: BS: Logic and the laws of science
It is going back a bit, but I feel I neglected a comment by Amos, when we were saying scientific experiments were set up to disprove the null hypothesis. Amos said:
An experiment that DISPROVES the null hypothesis supports some alternative hypothesis, n'est-ce pas?
And that's perfectly true. So why the apparent awkwardness of disproving rather than proving?
It's best considered via an example. Suppose I wanted to prove the statement 'All crows are black'. Basically, it can't be done. I may have examined a million, or one hundred million, crows but I can never be certain that if I go over the next hill I won't come across some white ones. So no matter how many 'agreements' I get, I can't be certain whether the hypothesis is correct or not.
Now suppose the opposite: After examining a bunch of crows I come across a white one. Job done: the hypothesis is disproved, no uncertainty.
And that in short is why experiments are set up to disprove, rather than prove.