I hope so, I dearly hope you are correct, and from where I sit it is the most likely outcome.
But then I thought the UK General Election and the neverendum would turn out a different way. Didn't see the Arab Spring, nor the turmoil. Nor the Peace Dividend from the Cold War would be Ethnic Cleansing. Had I , I would be the harbinger of doom. Oh dear, I think I must be!

These are time of turmoil. My current ability to see the future is out of whack, and I suspect I am one of a majority on that particular subject at least!