We are hearing a profound silence from.ministers and senior Tories. That seems a good indication to be that backroom discussions are in full flow. I dont particularly see a 'plot' to overthrow May because the Tory party is sufficiently ruthless about what they decide a plot is rarely needed. What is more likely is that it is clear to them them all their options, including staying as they are, carry great risks.

It may take days for them to decide the stratefy. When the first of the notables speaks, it is likely to be clear what they have decided.