The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #162855   Message #3926089
Posted By: Jim Carroll
21-May-18 - 06:22 AM
Thread Name: BS: Post Brexit life in the UK
Subject: RE: BS: Post Brexit life in the UK
From this morning's (London) Times
Jim Carroll

FEWER NORTHERN IRISH WOULD OPT FOR BREXIT IN NEW POLL, STUDY FINDS
Michael McHugh
Northern Ireland would vote more strongly to remain in the EU if there was another Brexit poll, a study has suggested.
A total of 69 per cent would favour Remain if there was another referendum compared with 56 per cent in the result two years ago, the UK in a Changing Europe project said.
Catholics were more likely to support a united Ireland if there was a “hard exit” in which the UK left the customs union and single market.
The Irish border is one of the most vexed questions facing negotiators who aim to strike a deal by autumn, before Britain’s withdrawal from the EU next year.
Brendan O’Leary, a professor of political science at the University of Pennsylvania who also holds a visiting position at Queen’s University Belfast, said: “Our results show that if there was another referendum people in Northern Ireland would vote more strongly to remain in the EU.
“The proportion wanting to Remain has risen since the 2016 referendum as more people have become aware of the possible costs and inconveniences of leaving the EU, as citizens and as employees or employers.”
The survey was carried out for the British Economic and Social Research Council, which is funding the UK in a Changing Europe project. The initiative aims to serve as an authoritative, non-partisan and impartial reference point for those looking for information, insights and analysis about UK-EU relations that stands aside from politics surrounding the debate.
The survey found that a total of 28 per cent of Catholics would vote for a united Ireland if the UK changed its mind and remained in the EU while 53 per cent of Catholics would vote for a united Ireland if there was a hard exit in which the UK left the customs union and single market. One in five Catholics found the possible use of cameras at the Irish border “almost impossible to accept” and nearly one in ten Catholics, 9 per cent, would support cameras being vandalised.
There were strong expectations that protests against checks at the Irish border or between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK would quickly become violent. There was also substantial support for a Brexit that would largely eliminate the need for any North-South or east-west border checks, namely for the UK as a whole to remain in the customs union and single market. A total of 61 per cent of the population favoured the UK as a whole remaining in the customs union and single market.
John Garry, a professor of political behaviour at Queen’s University, said: “We find Catholics and Protestants most prefer the option that would avoid the need for any new barriers on borders. Either in the Irish Sea or across Ireland. They want the UK as a whole to stay in the customs union and single market. However,-what may surprise people is the extent to which Catholics oppose all borders within these islands.”