I see. So you suggest you cannot make a judgement on whether damage in the first say six months after the leaving date is almost vanishing unlikely or almost certain.

Many people had a problem with ake, but I thought his position has some honesty. As I understand it was that leaving would cause all sorts of problems - perhaps financial, perhaps mass unemployment and so on - but, like surgery, it was a necessary pain to go through to be better off in the long run. That, to me was always a more sensible position than refusing to accept any downside, or refusing to face up it. Rather it said "There is a price to pay - this is the price - I will pay it."