The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #164605   Message #3963783
Posted By: Nigel Parsons
28-Nov-18 - 03:52 PM
Thread Name: Brexit #2
Subject: RE: Brexit #2
Latest government backed figures indicate that in 15 years our economy will be nearly 4% poorer if we adopt the latest deal as against staying in the EU. No deal is even worse with a predicted 9% shrinkage. This is not a pro Europe lobby nor project fear but official research by the people best placed to understand the full implications.

At least they appear to have learnt their lesson after getting their prophesies so wrong over the economic outcomes of if we voted for brexit.
This time they are making (very long-range) forecasts which can never be either verified, or proved false. Either we will remain in the EU, or we will leave with some sort of deal, or we will leave with no deal. Under any of those three possibilities, in fifteen years time they will be able to say "We were right in our forecasts", but unable to prove it as they will have no baseline figures to compare the actual outcome with.

If we leave with no deal, and the UK economy suffers serious problems they can claim that we would not have suffered, or not suffered so badly, if we'd remained in EU.
If we leave with no deal, and the UK economy does well they can claim that we would have done even better if we'd stayed in.
Similar responses can be made for the other two possibilities.

Can none of the remainers here see through this 'smoke and mirrors' act?