I wonder what odds I'd get on the possibility that, having lost the vote next week, Theresa May will opt for a fresh referendum? Given that she's being charging around calling for people to speak out in support of her deal, and to try to get their MPs to back it, going for a "people's vote" on it when the MPs defy what she'd claim the people had called for them to do would make sense. It could give her more chance of getting the deal accepted and of surviving as PM than anything else in sight.

In fact it would make sense for her not to wait, but to come out with it in her debate with Jeremy after Strictly Come Dancing on Sunday. It would put him on the back foot if it came out of the blue.