The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #165570 Message #3999748
Posted By: Nigel Parsons
07-Jul-19 - 06:32 PM
Thread Name: BS: Brexit #3: A futile gesture?
Subject: RE: BS: Brexit #3: A futile gesture?
From: DMcG - PM
Date: 07 Jul 19 - 10:22 AM Great introduction The Andrew Marr show today:no one, pundit or politician, knows anything and no one can predict where we are heading.
Seems about right.
I could see an election being called in October to be completed on say 7th November. It would effectively prorogue Parliament over the critical period without any special dodgy dealing. Boris could spend the last week or two saying he and the Tories have fulfilled their commitment, shooting the Brexit Party's fox (to a large extent) and also the Lib Dems (what else is their upswing about?) Once the fait is accompli, neither parties' USP survives. The house could not stop an election being called, I think - it would be really difficult for Labour to oppose it, for instance. Boris would only have to hope that the worst disadvantages of Brexit take a few weeks to appear, and stockpiling etc should cope with that.
Then, if they should lose to Labour, the story next time would be "we delivered the no deal and any problems are due to Labour".
About the only thing I can see that would mess that up that would be if the EU pointed out it has always considered an election a reason for an extension, so even though it was not asked for, they give an unconditional extension to, say, 1 week after the voting completes. And I am not at all sure where that would stand in international law.
This appears to ignore the fact that, if there is no further consultaion, and agreement, with the EU, we are leaving on Oct 31st. So in the above scenario, the UK will leave the EU on 31st October.