At the end of last week on Newnight four people were asked to predict the events of this week in terms of how votes would go. No one says prediction is easy, of course, but one was Tom Harwood from Guido Fawkes - he seems to be on BBC quite a lot - and his prediction was dramatically wrong. Pretty much he said Johnson would win everything this week and would be dominating the house at this point. There may, perhaps, have been too much confidence and too little analysis.