The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #167208 Message #4039769
Posted By: Iains
15-Mar-20 - 06:49 PM
Thread Name: BS: New rules for the coming pandemic
Subject: RE: BS: New rules for the coming pandemic
I always prefer to go to the original sources sources for my data, As I have said previously the figures are obtained by the government at 0900 and published at 1400 For those that do not like the way the figures are itemised and presented I suggest you take the issue up with Gov UK Public Health. At the base of their web page is the following:
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I always endeavour to post accurate data and unlike some I usually offer links.
The official government figures below clearly show the escalation and the staged government response.and can be correlated with date, numbers infected and deaths. These are raw figures and the rationale behind the testing regime is in the link below, but inevitably it has an element of hit and miss. Howvever it has captured the basics of the severity and spread. It gives a crude mortality of about 2.5% but that is only of those tested and positive. Acute bed occupancy is quoted as averaging 90%. This leaves little slack for a sudden epidemic. There is a vector of the asymptomatic that can only be modelled with unknown accuracy and they play no part in the crude mortality ststistics, but they pose an obvious danger to those most at risk. ie the70+(like myself) asthmatics, diabetics etc etc.
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/wuhan-novel-coronavirus-initial-investigation-of-possible-cases/investigation-and-initial-clinical-management-of-possible-cases-of-wuhan-novel-coronavirus-wn-cov-infection#interim-definition-possible-cases
(the above will not link)
Official source
GOV.UK
Guidance
Number of coronavirus (COVID-19) cases and risk in the UK
Date + Test Deaths Total tests
1 23 0
2 40 0
3 51 0 13911
4 85 0 16574
5 115 0 17968
6 161 1 20338
7 206 2 21460
8 273 2 22513
9 319 3 24950
10 373 6 26261
11 456 6 27476
12 590 8 29764
13 798 10 32771
14 1140 21 37746
15 1372 35 40279