Every picture tells a story and tells it better than Iains list of numbers, but this is based on those numbers.

a chart of the progression of COVID-19 in the UK (opens in new tab/window)

Those who want to carp and denigrate the efforts to explain should not look at it.

But what it tells me is that it hasn't reached the peak yet. The Gaussian bell curve is not even half way. Imprecise assessment, but the trend is obvious. To an engineer anyway.