Crises has a definition of a course of a disease when a patient either lives or dies.
We are in a real crises

That is where we are NOW

(Depending upon how you behave)! and the risks you take The US will experience as low as 100,000 deaths or as many as 2 MILLION.

2 Million deaths are more than the total US deaths of the Civil War plus WWI WWII, plus Viet Nam .

I can not predict peoples behavior so I err on the side of people being stupid OR not heeding the January warning early enough..