The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #167208   Message #4040529
Posted By: Iains
18-Mar-20 - 02:57 PM
Thread Name: BS: New rules for the coming pandemic
Subject: RE: BS: New rules for the coming pandemic
Pfr if it is A you are bugg***d or you can self identify as Type O and for added security as an eight years old as well!

MayoMick Yes it was Imperial released the study and the government broke the gearbox while ramping up through the gears in order to make the requisite moves to combat a vastly increased perceived threat.

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/196234/covid19-imperial-researchers-model-likely-impact/
It presents a vicious problem as the data is dodgy, patchy and vastly inadaquate for the required task. But it is all there is to work with
The Great Flu pandemic of 100 years ago still has little confidence in the accuracy of the numbers impacted and the true mortality rate. Such is the nature of the beast.
The 250k death rate presumably accounts for the rapidly ramped up response by government and similarly I would suggest that locking up granny an d social exclusion measures may"optimistically drive the projected deaths down by 90% to the stated 20k. Let us wish them good luck with the measures and hope they are 100% successful.