The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #167636   Message #4046782
Posted By: Mr Red
18-Apr-20 - 05:33 AM
Thread Name: BS: Coronavirus statistics
Subject: RE: BS: Coronavirus statistics
would you mind putting this in laymans language thanks
- Yea, you would expect a weekly frequency showing more or less deaths in one part of the week because we live & move on a 7 day cycle - normally. Reportage might also be affected by the weekly cycle.

OK we are not so strongly governed by 7 day activity at the moment, but the analysis, such as it is, shows almost no 7 day cycle. As to why a 6 day cycle is appearing - it is interesting as a puzzle, albeit beyond reasoning (for us mortals).

Early days, but we humans like to see patterns.

Answer this and lockdown could be focused on those that do not posess this apparent immunity.
- The problems with that are getting enough infection testing to make that reliable, and as for anti-bodies tests, the only ones available (in small numbers too!) - the number of false positive and negative mean it is reckless to use. Early days, given the seriousness of the situation, there is a lot of activity to address these aspects.

And a vaccine would be lovely, but ya gotta test first, and a good cross-section of the populous. Stats again - how often are adverse effects? And to whom?