The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #168278   Message #4066421
Posted By: Backwoodsman
29-Jul-20 - 10:25 AM
Thread Name: BS: Important issues re UK Labour Party
Subject: RE: BS: Important issues re UK Labour Party
Well I think you might be right, Raggy. But for different reasons to the one Nigel seemed to be suggesting.

If I read Nigel right, he was suggesting that the 59 Scottish MPs would simply disappear into a black hole, leaving the balance of power between the English, Welsh, and Northern Ireland MPs precisely as it currently is. I’m suggesting that Scotland leaving the Union would necessarily result in the Union’s dissolution, and that with the formation of a new Union between England, Wales and NI, there would have to be an election to form a government.

Whilst I agree that, for one reason and another, we are unlikely to see a Labour government for quite some time, I believe that to expect an even larger Tory majority (as Nigel is apparently suggesting will be the case) is to count the chickens before they hatch.

Politics is a funny old business. Who, for instance, would have expected a mass defection amongst traditional Labour voters to the Tories? Having defected once, they could quite easily defect back, especially when they’ve seen the Tories’ disastrous handling of Covid-19 with its hugely disproportionate death-toll and the unemployment it will bring, plus their reaction remains to be seen when the true scale of the horror of Brexit becomes clear in a year or two.

The Tories’ tactics are always ‘Smash and Grab, then leave Labour to clear up the mess’ - I reckon we’re around half-way through the ‘Smash and Grab’ phase right about now, and the slide will begin after they’ve won the next GE, but with a reduced majority.