”If Scotland left the Union, then, even if there was an immediate election, the opposition would have to overturn a majority of 130+ rather than the current majority of 80+.“

I’ll also try again and, as you failed to understand last time, I’ll also keep it simple...

If, and it’s a very big ‘if’, Scotland left the Union, it wouldn’t be for at least a couple of years. A lot can happen in a couple of years, and forecasting the result of an ensuing general election at least two years ahead goes well beyond even the most optimistic crystal-ball-gazing.

I’m in Scotland on holiday next August. Could you weave your magical skills as a soothsayer and tell me what the weather will be doing - it’s only a year ahead, should be simple for someone with your powers. ;-)