My opinion (recorded on another site) was that if Johnson did not go on 17-19 because of feedback from the MPs constituents, he is probably safe until the May elections. Gray's report will lead to some more letters going in, but I doubt if it will be enough to be decisive. A lot of financial flak will hit people in April, and I don't think the potential replacements for Johnson want to be on the receiving end of that, so they are happy to wait it out.

I heard one of the government spokesmen saying what people cared about were things like the UK having the fastest GDP growth in it the G7. Stuff and nonsense, in my view. They care about the cost of petrol. The cost of gas and electricity. The price of food. Whether their wages cover the month (or week) without having to make significant choices like food or heating. Abstractions like GDP and whether G7 is more significant than other comparisons are from a different world to their experiences.