We are approaching harvest time and Ukrainian silo space is currently unavailable.
Talks with Russia and Ukraine are stalled and the Black Sea is still mined by both sides. If things do not improve in the ta da knick of time there will be four additional middle eastern countries that will face mass starvation that would remind us of scenes from Africa.

Food prices will precipitously rise in the rest of the world.
Food and fuel are weaponized by Putin, does his pride know NO bounds?

Turkey will act like a traffic cop if grain and sunflower oil does get moving again.

If there is there such a thing as a hopeful cynic I am one.