The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #172817 Message #4186232
Posted By: Steve Shaw
08-Nov-23 - 04:25 AM
Thread Name: BS: coin toss not 50/50 research finds!
Subject: RE: BS: coin toss not 50/50 research finds!
Correct, Joe. Suppose you tossed a coin 10,000 times. Would anyone REALLY expect an exact 5000-to-5000 result? Even if your coin had two exactly identical sides? Even if you had a beautifully-calibrated coin-tossing machine and you kept all conditions stable? As long as you eliminated all human-induced jiggerypokery, you'd get close, and there's a remote chance that, once in a few/dozen/hundred/thousand goes, you might get exact 50-50. But there are unknown unknowns here...