The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #39859   Message #573819
Posted By: GUEST,petr
16-Oct-01 - 09:18 PM
Thread Name: War Strategy&Tactics: Part Three
Subject: RE: War Strategy&Tactics: Part Three
the Pakistanis dont want a Northern Alliance (or United Front) govt, which doesnt represent the majority Pashtun. BUt it seems likely now that the US is withholding major assaults on Taliban troop concentrations until they have worked out a coalition govt including Afghan govt in exile, other educated expatriots, and the UF possibly with the exking Zahir SHah as a unifying figure, but definitely friendly to Pakistan.

This really should be an opportunity for the UN as well as the OIC to step in and provide a stable transitional govt. (It can be done, it happened in Postwar Europe although with an Iron Curtain to appease STalin.) I also predict that the post Taliban Afghan govt will definitely include moderate Taliban or former Taliban representatives. Many of them are constantly changing sides. I give the Taliban another month or 2 at most. (these guys are not the Mujahadeen (most of the surviving Mujahadeen were in the Northern alliance) Altough Al Qaeda will probably take longer to root out. But when that is done, it will be by Afghanis and not Americans for political reasons. anyway those are my guesses.

I also think there will be an intensified international effort to solve the Palestinian Problem, they really should be given a homeland and many of the Israeli Settlements on their territory should and will be closed. ALthough a Jewish friend of mine thought that perhaps they may just build a wall.

As for India, they should respect the UN resolution regarding Kashmir, ie. let the people decide. Im sure that will be difficult as well.

Also THere should be increased international pressure to settle the differences between the 1st and 3rd world, including forgiving debts, tackling the issues of unchecked globalism (if anything gave it a blow Sept 11 certainly did), Kyoto as well but those may be pipe dreams.