The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #45062   Message #665382
Posted By: Bill D
08-Mar-02 - 05:39 PM
Thread Name: BS: Chaos, Intuition, and Nonlinear Dynamics
Subject: RE: BS: Chaos, Intuition, and Nonlinear Dynamics
"it would be like guessing the answer without being told the question first."

well, I have done this...and had witnesses...but I don't thing it would qualify as a chaotic system.

what happened was... I once answered a TV quiz program question before it was asked!..The topic was "Famous Battles" and contestants could choose 3 levels of question..more $$$ if you answered 2/1 or 3/1.....so I said (to the TV) "I'll take 2/1 and the answer is Thermopylae." Sure enough, a contestant chose that option, and they asked him.."What Greek battle was fought against the Persians in which.....blah, blah, blah..." .....My wife and kids just stared and asked "how'd you know that?"...

I didn't 'know' that, and the answer sure could have been "The Coral Sea" or "Hastings" or others...I just applied inductive reasoning and made a guess as to which semi-famous battle might be a good question for a TV program....and I got lucky!

The thing is, guessing *right* makes a good story, whereas even I don't remember all the times I have guessed wrong about things. We tend to take one success and attribute more to it than is necessary. I had no 'powers' that strech any laws of physics, I just made an intelligent guess......(but, boy I liked the awed looks *grin*)